business law
Although we will see in the following that not all but most indicators point to another record month of July (thereby topping June), there are at least some minor signs of trouble ahead – which still can be resolved easily, though. Hence, let’s take a deeper dive into the data:
With a view to the most recent figures and indices tracing the German economy this question should indeed be permitted. After May 2017 setting record after record (cf. here) the question is whether June topped it again:
And indeed – at least in Germany – the train of economic growth kept rolling throughout May unabated (as hoped for at the end of March) – now reaching levels never seen before in ALL of the areas:
And indeed – at least in Germany and Europe – the train of economic growth kept rolling throughout April (as hoped for in the end of March):
After all these questionmarks, doubts and armageddon-foresights (cf. for February here) now that: Hope! First, we all survived the 15th of March 2017 – despite the doomsday-sayers, neither the debt-ceiling nor the rate-hike in the US nor the Dutch elections could derail the “economic train” which seems to get momentum even beyond Germany now. But, … more
Germany’s economy seems to get stronger by the month – falling unemployment, rising GDP, governmental surplus, you name it. So, is really everything glossy and any other view merely a doomsday-sayer’s paranoia? Let’s check:
After a rollercoaster rarely seen in recent history, the year ends relatively patchy for the German economy:
Until 8 November the month began rather “ordinary” and did not continue the rebound from September. Obviously, everybody was waiting for the outcome of the US Presidential elections. And then the unthinkable (at least from the viewpoint of the MSM) happened – Trump was voted President. And then, again, the unthinkable happened: stocks did not only NOT crash but … more
While in September the clouds hanging over the German economy rather indicated the end of the world (“On the edge“) current October figures seem to indicate a moderate to strong rebound:
The question raised at the end of August (“seasonal slowdown or new trend?“) might indeed be answered in the very near future – at least, if Deutsche Bank’ shares contiue to plunge. But I am getting ahead of myself…